Monday, May 23, 2011

Climate Change Can Be Solved With Adaptive Management

Systems thinking about the society                                   Image via WikipediaBy Garry Baverstock

What is adaptive management? Climate change solutions desperately need bi-partisan political will and the input from the right collaborative experts, led by highly competent project managers to deliver the outcomes and solutions to climate change problems.

Multi Disciplinary Systems Approach

The solution to climate change problems will require such an adaptive management method and a multi-disciplinary approach, just as that applied by Gene Krantz from NASA when his astronauts' lives were threatened by mishaps, during the Apollo missions - Apollo 13 being the most dramatic event of the series.
'Space ship earth' needs people who are going to apply systems thinking to a total system overview.

No Silver Bullet

If we are to advance as a society and solve the real problems facing mankind as a whole, over-simplifying the problems, seen practiced by non-technical politicians and large industry players and often supported by the media, needs to cease in the near future.

Nobody is going to win by this proliferated approach or the continual attempted implementation of 'silver bullet solutions'. There is no silver bullet. It is a complex issue and needs total systems thinking.

Rising and Unsustainable Consumption

Apart from the diabolical carbon and other greenhouse gas issue, the year 2050 represents a collision course with nature. David Baggs of EcoSpecifier, an eco-products knowledge-base website, has commented on and prepared clear charts and graphs illustrating the declining eco systems and the rising demands of humans through population growth and increasing materialism.

In addition to the scale of development and the destruction of natural habitats, the rate of consumption of materials on planet earth is now way beyond the capacity of the earth to continue supply resources to satisfy the demand. It is alarming that 60-70% of all materials consumed go to the building industry.

The quantity of materials consumed is now totally unsustainable and with the dramatic growth of China and India it does not require a PhD qualification to understand the problems and the role of the built environment in the contribution to the climate change problem.

World Population

Indigenous people (homo sapiens) basically lived in harmony with nature for 100,000 years and over-consumption never became an issue with low populations hunting which were hunting and gathering what was available. They lived within the limits of what was available and total populations never exceeded 5 million on the entire planet.

The world population was just over 3 billion when President J.F. Kennedy was assassinated and now it is nearing 7 billion. There could be growth to 9-12 billion if world population growth is not addressed. What is the workable limit to population based on ecological health of the planet? We need to know.

To fully understand the most desirable population levels in each region of the planet, a good starting point would be to clearly understand the culture and philosophical position of the world's indigenous peoples as it was before modern economies started to evolve. I believe there could be a modern-day lesson for those who think there is no other way than the current economic existence of unbridled consumption.

Making Maximum Use Of Resources

Many experts consider that there is a way of having quality without the quantity and the terrible waste prevalent in the modern world as exploded in the 20th century.

Researchers, sociologists, and economists could do well to explore this avenue and research and develop new ways inspired by our ancient pasts. New patterns of living and making maximum use of resources will contribute greatly to achieving true sustainability on planet earth. Sustainability based economics should be based on human values rather than money for power and overt destruction consumption.

The definitive book on this subject, one which examines solutions to global economic problems to the level we all need, has not been written yet. I am sure renewable energy technologies will be an integral part of the eventual workable solutions.

This is a challenge for all disciplines and for a new breed of Australian Sustainable Energy Society (AuSES) mentors to support students and young professionals working in the sustainable environment arena. It also will open the door for AuSES to be involved in more multi-disciplinary research and development and widen the net for enlisting new young members of the society.

There has been exponential growth in the consumption of energy since 1995 and there has been no attempt by any country to curtail consumption, fearing a depressed economy would follow. It is obvious the economic paradigm the world has been employing of the last 100 years has started to fail.

To paraphrase Einstein: "One cannot employ the same thinking to solve the problem that caused the problem in the first place."

About Garry Baverstock

Garry Baverstock, A.M. Leading Australian architect in passive solar design, challenges government to take the initiative in the matter of climate change. He is passionate that we need a review of governance systems in relation to energy use and power sources and a new 21st Century response. Read the full article with charts and graphs:: http://solar-e.com

Reduce your carbon footprint by following this design data manual to build a passive solar energy home: Green Building Design Guide

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