Photo: D. Nepstad |
Protecting
places of global environmental importance such as the Great Barrier
Reef and the Amazon rainforest from climate change will require reducing
the other pressures they face, for example overfishing, fertilizer
pollution or land clearing.
The team of
researchers warns that localised issues, such as declining water quality
from nutrient pollution or deforestation, can exacerbate the effects of
climatic extremes, such as heat waves and droughts. This reduces the
ability of ecosystems to cope with the impacts of climate change.
"Managing
local ecosystems can help maintain and enhance their resilience in the
face of global changes. It is often easier to implement incentives for
stewardship of the biosphere in local commons than in global commons,
where the uncertainty is lower, and where positive results of management
may be more visible," says Centre science director Carl Folke, one of the study’s co-authors.
Unique World Heritage Sites
The
authors examined three UNESCO World Heritage Sites: Spain’s Doñana
wetlands, the Amazon rainforest and the Great Barrier Reef. While many
ecosystems are crucial to their local people, these ecosystems also have
a global importance - hence their designation as World Heritage Sites.
For instance, the Amazon rainforest is a globally important climate
regulator.
Like coral reefs, rainforests and
wetlands around the world, these sites are all under increasing pressure
from both climate change and local threats.
For
example, rising temperatures and severe dry spells threaten the Amazon
rainforest and, in combination with deforestation, could turn the
ecosystem into a drier, fire-prone and species-poor woodland. Curtailing
deforestation and canopy damage from logging and quickening forest
regeneration could protect the forest from fire, maintain regional
rainfall and thus prevent a drastic ecosystem transformation.
"A
combination of bold policy interventions and voluntary agreements has
slowed deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon to one fourth of its
historical rate. The stage is now set to build on this success by
ramping up efforts to tame logging and inhibit fire," says co-author
Daniel Nepstad, executive director of Earth Innovation Institute.
An unfolding disaster
"All
three examples play a critical role in maintaining global biodiversity.
If these systems collapse, it could mean the irreversible extinction of
species," says the study’s lead author Marten Scheffer. He is Chair of
the Department of Aquatic Ecology and Water Quality Management at the
Netherlands' Wageningen University.
In the
Great Barrier Reef the global threats are ocean acidification and coral
bleaching, both induced by carbon dioxide emissions. Local threats such
as overfishing, nutrient runoff and unprecedented amounts of dredging
will reduce the reef’s resilience to acidification and bleaching.
"It’s
an unfolding disaster. The reef needs less pollution from agricultural
runoff and port dredging, less carbon dioxide emissions from fossil
fuels, and less fishing pressure. Ironically, Australia is still
planning to develop new coal mines and expand coal ports, despite global
efforts to transition quickly towards renewable energy," says co-author
Terry Hughes, director of the Australian Research Council Centre of
Excellence for Coral Reef Studies.
"As a wealthy country, Australia has the capability and responsibility to improve its management of the reef," adds Hughes.
No excuse - act locally
The
authors suggest their evidence places responsibility on governments and
society to manage local threats to iconic ecosystems, and such efforts
will complement the growing momentum to control global greenhouse gases.
Yet, in the three cases they examined, they found local governance
trends are worrisome.
According to co-author Scott Barrett, the problem is one of incentives.
"These
ecosystems are of value to the whole world, not only to the countries
that have jurisdiction over them. It may be necessary for other
countries to bring pressure to bear on these ‘host’ countries or to
offer them assistance, to ensure that these iconic ecosystems are
protected for the benefit of all of humanity," says Barrett, who is a
professor at Columbia University’s School of International and Public
Affairs.
Above all, the paper raises awareness of the great opportunities for enhanced local action.
"Local
management options are well understood and not too expensive. So there
is really no excuse for countries to let this slip away, especially when
it comes to ecosystems that are of vital importance for maintaining
global biodiversity," says Scheffer.
Citation
Scheffer,
M., Barrett, S., Carpenter, S.R., Folke, C., Green, A.J., Holmgren, M.,
Hughes, T.P., Kosten, S., va de Leemput, I.A., Nepstad, D.C., van Nes,
E. H., Peeters, E.T.H.M., and Brian Walker. Creating a safe operating
space for iconic ecosystems, Science 2015.
Professor Carl Folke
is Science Director of the Stockholm Resilience Centre and has
extensive experience in transdisciplinary collaboration between natural
and social scientists. He has worked with ecosystem dynamics and
services as well as the social and economic dimension of ecosystem
management and proactive measures to manage resilience.
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